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ppt (13)
rojecting uncertainty through nonlinear ODEs Youdong Lin1 Mark Stadherr1 George Corliss2 Scott Ferson3 1University of Notre Dame 2Marquette University 3Applied Biomathematics Uncertainty Artifactual uncertainty Too few polynomial terms Numerical instability Can be reduced by a better analysis Authentic uncertainty Genuine unpredictability due to in...
.ppthttp://bt.pa.msu.edu/TM/BocaRaton2006/talks/ferson.ppt
mprecise probabilities in engineering design Imprecise probabilities IP Credal set of possible probability measures Relaxes the idea of a single probability measure Coherent upper and lower previsions de Finetti s notion of a fair price Generalizes probability and expectation Gambles Three pillars of IP Behavioral definition of probability Can be o...
.ppthttp://www.srl.gatech.edu/Members/cparedis/Workshop/Ferson.ppt
[ presentation - Georgia Tech Savannah: Home | EBOOK DOWNLOAD :PRESENTATION - GEORGIA TECH SAVANNAH: HOME | ] ...odeling correlations and dependencies among intervals Scott Ferson and Vladik Kreinovich REC 06 Savannah Georgia 23 February 2006 Interval analysis Advantages Natural for scientists and easy to explain Works wherever uncertainty comes from Works without specifying intervariable dependencies...
.ppt.../www.gtsav.gatech.edu/workshop/rec06/presentations/REC2006_Ferson.ppt
...xperiment Here is an experiment that demonstrates Ferson s point In this experiment returns are generated such that cross sectional differences are entirely due to non risk reasons However loadings on the spread portfolio explain these differences so there appears to be a common risk factor Set up...
.ppthttp://teaching.ust.hk/~fina790c/Ferson_experiment.ppt
...erified computation with probabilities Scott Ferson scott ramas com Applied Biomathematics Scientific Computing Computer Arithmetic and Verified Numerical Computations El Paso Texas 3 October 2008 Perspective Very elementary methods of interval analysis Low dimensional static Verified computing but...
.ppthttp://www.cs.utep.edu/interval-comp/scan08ferson.ppt
... Peer Reviewers Scott Ferson Applied Biomathematics United States of America Tom Humphrey University of Bristol United Kingdom Christine Little Health Protection Agency United Kingdom John Maurer University of Georgia United States of America Maarten Nauta National Institute for Public Health...
.ppt...p://www.fsis.usda.gov/oppde/rdad/FRPubs/04-034N/Sera_CMS_Part_I.ppt
[ Current Approaches to Performance Measurement ] ... macroeconomic variable controls Ferson and Schadt 1996 Use GSC procedure Brown and Goetzmann 1997 Style management is crucial Characteristics based Styles Traditio...
.ppt...pages.stern.nyu.edu/~sbrown/FIRN/Empirical Financial Economics 5.ppt
... to validate the probabilistic model criticism of the credibility of probabilistic approach when data is insufficient Elishakoff 1995 Ferson and Ginzburg 1996 Introduction Interval Approach Nonprobabilistic approach for uncertainty modeling when only range information tolerance is available Represents...
.ppthttp://www.gtsav.gatech.edu/rec/documents/muhanna-2005.ppt
... parameters Second order Monte Carlo can underestimate bounds on extinction risk Interval Monte Carlo models offers an alternative with no additional distribution assumptions Interval Monte Carlo is conservative Acknowledgements Lev Ginzburg of Stony Brook University Scott Ferson of Applied Biomathematics...
.ppt...www.gtsav.gatech.edu/workshop/rec04/presentations/Hajagos_Janos_2.ppt
... and mathematical models of natural populations Fitting models to data evaluating the plausibility of alternative models Exploring different management policies Course Readings see Web Site for Full Listing Burgman M A Ferson S Ak akaya H R 1994 Risk Assessment in Conservation Biology Chapman Hall Haddon M 2001...
.ppthttp://courses.washington.edu/fish458/Lecture1.ppt